UDTR — Radar mondial des droits de la Nature

Impact Attribution for Climate Law: The Case of Storm Irene

Identification

Clé publique

radar:r-d0d8c5e0e09017332d57fe9c36f10da9

Auteurs

Mireia Ginesta · Shirin Ermis · Rupert F. Stuart-Smith · Benjamin Franta

Année déclarée

2025

Langue déclarée

en

Type source

conference-abstract

Première détection

2026-11-14T02:04:10.300624+00:00

Dernière observation des métadonnées

2026-11-14T02:04:10.300624+00:00

Dernière vérification HTTP

Non effectuée

Institutions déclarées par la source

University of Oxford

Pays d’affiliation déclarés

GB

Résumé documentaire — langue originale

People are increasingly turning to courts to combat climate crisis. In the early 2000s, fewer than 10 climate change litigation cases had been filed globally. By 2024, this number has grown to over 2,500, with more than half originating in the United States. Some of these cases rely on extreme weather attribution science to link damages to anthropogenic climate change. Developing rigorous, legally useful assessments of damage attributable to climate change is an increasingly pressing need.We present a framework for forecast-based impact attribution which can link physically consistent hazards to impacts, providing evidence for legal cases and climate cost recovery laws. As a case study, we analyze the severe impacts of Storm Irene in August 2011 when it was undergoing extratropical transition in the north-eastern USA. In the state of Vermont, Irene caused rainfall of up to 180 mm within a few hours, leading to fluvial and pluvial flooding with catastrophic consequences that caused $850 million in economic damages. By integrating an operational weather forecast model (ECMWF’s IFS) and hydrological models with economic impact assessments, we assess the extent to which these damages can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change.This research underscores the potential of interdisciplinary attribution methodologies to enhance the scientific basis for judicial adjudication on climate change and climate law-making.

Identifiants

OPENALEX

https://openalex.org/W4408485994

DOI

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17937

Repères documentaires

Famille documentaire

unknown

Types déclarés par les sources

conference-abstract

Les mentions d’entités ne constituent pas une preuve de reconnaissance juridique. La juridiction étudiée est distincte du pays d’affiliation des auteurs.

Sources

OpenAlex · Document 1

• Document · https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17937

Statut documentaire

Pertinence à examiner

Bibliothèque

Cette identité n’est pas encore intégrée à la Bibliothèque juridique.