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Indonesia’s Carbon Tax: To What Extent is it Effective in Achieving the Goals?

Identification

Clé publique

radar:r-4cda7bbba82514408573cf68a10c6ecf

Auteurs

Syahrituah Siregar · Luthfi Fatah · M. Handry Imansyah · Sunardi Sunardi

Année déclarée

2025

Langue déclarée

en

Type source

article

Première détection

2026-11-13T14:47:53.512331+00:00

Dernière observation des métadonnées

2026-11-13T14:47:53.512331+00:00

Dernière vérification HTTP

Non effectuée

Institutions déclarées par la source

Lambung Mangkurat University

Pays d’affiliation déclarés

ID

Résumé documentaire — langue originale

Research Originality — This study offers another perspective on carbon taxation in Indonesia by presenting sector-specific estimates of potential revenue and emission reductions using a more grounded input-output framework. Unlike many studies that rely on macro-level assumptions, this research integrates detailed CO₂ emission data by sector and applies a forecasting approach to generate practical insights for policy implementation. Research Objective — The main objectives are to estimate the carbon tax revenue that could be collected and to assess how much emission reduction could be achieved through this policy, particularly in relation to Indonesia’s enhanced Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targets. Research Methods — Using the 2016 input-output table enriched with a CO₂ satellite account, and applying the double exponential smoothing method to forecast future emissions, the study simulates the impact of a carbon tax set at IDR 30,000 per ton. Empirical Results — The results indicate that annual revenue from the carbon tax could reach between IDR 25.195 trillion and IDR 25.21 trillion during the 2025–2030 period, totalling approximately IDR 151.19 trillion. By 2030, national emissions are projected to fall to 839.93 million tons of CO₂, which is 49.68% lower than the business-as-usual (BAU) level, 35.94% below the counter measure 1 (CM1) level, 31.33% below counter measure 2 (CM2), and 17.28% lower than projections without tax implementation. Implications — These findings highlight the important—though not solitary—role of carbon taxation in closing the emission gap and supporting Indonesia’s transition toward a low-carbon and climate-resilient economy. The approach used in this study may serve as a useful reference for other countries considering similar measures.

Identifiants

OPENALEX

https://openalex.org/W4411988969

DOI

10.33105/itrev.v10i2.1140

Repères documentaires

Famille documentaire

article

Types déclarés par les sources

article

Éditeurs

Ministry of Finance

Les mentions d’entités ne constituent pas une preuve de reconnaissance juridique. La juridiction étudiée est distincte du pays d’affiliation des auteurs.

Sources

OpenAlex · Document 1

• Document · https://doi.org/10.33105/itrev.v10i2.1140

Statut documentaire

Pertinence à examiner

Bibliothèque

Cette identité n’est pas encore intégrée à la Bibliothèque juridique.