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Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery

Identification

Public canonical key
doi:10.1038/ncomms4471
Authors
Juliet Biggs · S. K. Ebmeier · Willy P. Aspinall · Zhong Lu · M. E. Pritchard · R. S. J. Sparks · Tamsin A. Mather
Reported year
2014
Reported language
en
Source type
article
First detected
2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
Last metadata observation
2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
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Institutions reported by the source

Cornell University · Southern Methodist University · University of Bristol · University of Oxford

Documentary abstract — original language

A key challenge for volcanological science and hazard management is that few of the world's volcanoes are effectively monitored. Satellite imagery covers volcanoes globally throughout their eruptive cycles, independent of ground-based monitoring, providing a multidecadal archive suitable for probabilistic analysis linking deformation with eruption. Here we show that, of the 198 volcanoes systematically observed for the past 18 years, 54 deformed, of which 25 also erupted. For assessing eruption potential, this high proportion of deforming volcanoes that also erupted (46%), together with the proportion of non-deforming volcanoes that did not erupt (94%), jointly represent indicators with 'strong' evidential worth. Using a larger catalogue of 540 volcanoes observed for 3 years, we demonstrate how this eruption-deformation relationship is influenced by tectonic, petrological and volcanic factors. Satellite technology is rapidly evolving and routine monitoring of the deformation status of all volcanoes from space is anticipated, meaning probabilistic approaches will increasingly inform hazard decisions and strategic development.

Identifiers

OPENALEX
W2059842464
DOI
10.1038/ncomms4471

Documentary context

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Scholarship
Source-reported types
article

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OpenAlex · Record 1 · Record 2

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  • openalex:w1557412403 · CITES
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  • openalex:w1588261611 · CITES
  • openalex:w1608022472 · CITES
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  • openalex:w1731142788 · CITES
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  • openalex:w1966573946 · CITES
  • openalex:w1983158339 · CITES
  • openalex:w1985104545 · CITES
  • openalex:w1995569833 · CITES
  • openalex:w2000119127 · CITES
  • openalex:w2002476558 · CITES

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Cite this reference

Juliet Biggs; S. K. Ebmeier; Willy P. Aspinall; Zhong Lu; M. E. Pritchard; R. S. J. Sparks; Tamsin A. Mather. Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms4471

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APA
Juliet Biggs; S. K. Ebmeier; Willy P. Aspinall; Zhong Lu; M. E. Pritchard; R. S. J. Sparks; Tamsin A. Mather. (2014). Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms4471
Chicago
Juliet Biggs; S. K. Ebmeier; Willy P. Aspinall; Zhong Lu; M. E. Pritchard; R. S. J. Sparks; Tamsin A. Mather. Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms4471
ISO 690
Juliet Biggs; S. K. Ebmeier; Willy P. Aspinall; Zhong Lu; M. E. Pritchard; R. S. J. Sparks; Tamsin A. Mather. Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms4471

UDTR Global Rights of Nature Legal Library. Global link between deformation and volcanic eruption quantified by satellite imagery. Documentary record: https://www.declarationuniverselledesdroitsdelarbre.org/global-rights-of-nature-radar/reference/r-54bb85e25debc5bd3cbf3540f714bbb8/ · Last HTTP verification: not performed

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Field provenance and record version

Version 95960cb1c5d69479 · udtr-reference-1.1.2

Title
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
Authors
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
Year
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
Identifiers
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
Source URL
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
Source-reported author ORCID
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00
OpenAlex · source · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00

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6667af8130c1f6cc · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00

21ee49075aaf8a9f · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00

c973321c27aa43b4 · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00

95960cb1c5d69479 · 2026-11-09T19:19:53.111937+00:00

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Research dossiers and documentary relations

Cornell University

Southern Methodist University

University of Bristol

University of Oxford

Juliet Biggs

M. E. Pritchard

R. S. J. Sparks

S. K. Ebmeier

Tamsin A. Mather

Willy P. Aspinall

Zhong Lu

Source roles

Discovery source · https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms4471

Discovery source · https://openalex.org/W2059842464

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