Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality
Identification
- Public canonical key
- radar:r-433da007b1c30e0ced2cab39a7043ccf
- Authors
- Hai-Anh Hoang Dang · Stéphane Hallegatte A · Minh Cong Nguyen · Trong‐Anh Trinh
- Reported year
- 2025
- Reported language
- en
- Source type
- article
- First detected
- 2026-11-14T09:38:31.436344+00:00
- Last metadata observation
- 2026-11-14T09:38:31.436344+00:00
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- Not checked
Institutions reported by the source
World Bank · University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City · IZA - Institute of Labor Economics · Indiana University Bloomington · Indiana University · Monash University
Reported affiliation countries
AU · DE · US · VN
Documentary abstract — original language
Abstract Higher temperatures are expected to impact globally on poverty and inequality, yet little cross-country analysis exists to quantify the effects. Here we analyse a panel dataset of subnational poverty in 130 countries covering the past decade and find that a 1 °C increase in temperature causes headcount poverty increases of 0.63–1.18 percentage points, using the daily poverty lines of US$2.15 (corresponding to 8.3% and 15.6% increases), and increases in the Gini inequality index of 1.3–1.9%. These poverty estimates equal a projected increase of global poor by 62.3–98.7 million people by 2030 compared with a scenario without climate change. Poorer countries—particularly those in Sub-Saharan Africa—are more vulnerable, as are countries with higher agriculture shares in the economy. Estimates at the subnational level are larger than those using the country-level data, indicating that aggregated analysis may underestimate climate change risks.
Identifiers
- OPENALEX
- https://openalex.org/W7116760570
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6
Documentary context
- Documentary family
- article
- Source-reported types
- article
- Publishers
- Nature Portfolio
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Sources
OpenAlex · Record 1
Cite this reference
Hai-Anh Hoang Dang; Stéphane Hallegatte A; Minh Cong Nguyen; Trong‐Anh Trinh. Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6
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- APA
- Hai-Anh Hoang Dang; Stéphane Hallegatte A; Minh Cong Nguyen; Trong‐Anh Trinh. (2025). Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6
- Chicago
- Hai-Anh Hoang Dang; Stéphane Hallegatte A; Minh Cong Nguyen; Trong‐Anh Trinh. Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6
- ISO 690
- Hai-Anh Hoang Dang; Stéphane Hallegatte A; Minh Cong Nguyen; Trong‐Anh Trinh. Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6
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UDTR Global Rights of Nature Legal Library. Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality. Documentary record: https://www.declarationuniverselledesdroitsdelarbre.org/global-rights-of-nature-radar/reference/r-433da007b1c30e0ced2cab39a7043ccf/ · Last HTTP verification: not performed
Research dossiers and documentary relations
Source roles
Bibliographic / original publication source · https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6
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